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This is a strange question, it might be easy for all you math wizards or it even may be impossible. If you don't understand what I mean let me know so I can change the way I post the question.

Product A can be built using Product B.

To get Product B I have to transform product C or Product D.

I have a 50% chance to get product B by transforming product C and 25% to get product B by transforming product D.

Is there any way to predict the cost of production for Product A knowing the price for Product C and D

Edit 1 There are no transformation costs, only the costs for the materials

3 Answers 3